Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.098524 5.560852 6.064614 6.657604 7.340834 8.108620 9.044202
2025-02-16 4.330407 4.954777 5.686945 6.622182 7.805057 9.280186 11.307657
2025-02-23 3.931713 4.646220 5.527567 6.721608 8.342267 10.539255 13.888023
2025-03-02 3.535526 4.269387 5.206297 6.529137 8.419272 11.149508 15.672756
2025-03-09 3.252774 3.997890 4.976572 6.407473 8.545418 11.815468 17.677730
2025-03-16 3.047332 3.803857 4.822853 6.360484 8.755136 12.624454 20.133793
2025-03-23 2.938182 3.726740 4.817118 6.518644 9.291110 14.057210 24.221759
2025-03-30 2.747923 3.520758 4.607372 6.340238 9.249442 14.466258 26.368082
2025-04-06 2.578817 3.332433 4.407187 6.153523 9.163157 14.768366 28.385904
2025-04-13 2.429391 3.162659 4.221411 5.970325 9.055736 15.003994 30.339726
2025-04-20 2.325936 3.053165 4.117911 5.909981 9.158016 15.680045 33.765712
2025-04-27 2.279825 3.024572 4.134707 6.049450 9.646675 17.283631 40.804847
2025-05-04 2.219209 2.977449 4.129548 6.170055 10.159056 19.186183 50.812880
2025-05-11 2.134821 2.890663 4.057345 6.169911 10.442188 20.670927 61.174334
2025-05-18 2.076236 2.839466 4.037961 6.261896 10.934931 22.885658 78.157775
2025-05-25 1.973360 2.712988 3.885052 6.088684 10.816812 23.364946 87.113811
2025-06-01 1.890489 2.613792 3.771319 5.978955 10.826077 24.239192 100.496537
2025-06-08 1.825924 2.540373 3.696308 5.936544 10.985892 25.657660 121.745885
2025-06-15 1.796908 2.522341 3.714537 6.079237 11.618937 28.960358 173.506265
2025-06-22 1.721523 2.425107 3.588654 5.918265 11.462995 29.376368 196.594645
2025-06-29 1.649858 2.331121 3.463735 5.749560 11.264574 29.578989 219.514984
2025-07-06 1.583082 2.242688 3.344445 5.583794 11.052835 29.674306 243.425962
2025-07-13 1.536901 2.186657 3.280293 5.529140 11.133322 31.038384 306.313473